Constituency. "Their 17 percent support in our new poll is actually the highest they have ever recorded for Westminster in any Welsh poll this century", Prof Awan-Scully said. In early 2021, the UK, Scottish and Welsh governments were all considering whether to delay the elections as a coronavirus precaution. "Then, Labour’s reported support was almost twice that of Plaid Cymru; now there are only just over ten percentage points separating the top three parties.". He said, “They are also very much in line with the changes seen in recent Britain-wide polling, which has suggested some strengthening of the Conservative position and a modest Labour decline. It was carried out online by YouGov from 11-14 January 2021. That number will very likely be reduced to 32 by the time of the next general election, with substantially revised boundaries. Thousands of 16 and 17-year-olds are yet to register to vote in the Welsh Parliament election with just days left to do so, according to campaigners. 7. Prof Awan-Scully has projected from the poll which seats would change hands if there was a uniform swing in support for the parties since the last Welsh election in May 2016. The new Barometer poll sees the following results, with changes since January’s poll in brackets. Seat Changes. A poll will also be taken for the election of regional members along with a poll for the election for a Police and Crime Commissioner for the North Wales Police area. The main apparent beneficiaries of Labour’s slump in Westminster support are Plaid Cymru - with an increase in support of 4% points. Close Voters in Wales are going to the polls to elect members to the Senedd in Cardiff Bay on 6 May. Supporting candidates and agents - May 2021 polls - Wales If you have any questions, please contact your local Commission team . For more details of these cookies and how to disable them, see our cookie policy. The first Welsh Political Barometer poll of this Senedd election year suggests a close three-way contest between Labour, the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru is scheduled for May. This is followed by the Conservatives at 30% and Plaid Cymru at 23%. But, a uniform swing projection of the changes in party support since May 2016 would leave the Lib Dems with their one constituency. The poll suggests that Wales is on course for a different kind of politics in the next devolved election. “Labour must still be the strong favourites to be the largest party in the Senedd after the election", Professor Awan-Scully said. The Vale of Glamorgan, the Vale of Clwyd, Gower, Wrexham and Cardiff North are projected to be gained by the Tories. Labour % Conservative % Plaid Cymru % UKIP % Liberal Democrat % Region. It showed strong support for Wales' 17-day firebreak, but criticism of the banning of essential items in supermarkets. Here are full results for the constituency ballot (with changes in support for each party since the last Barometer poll in January): Polling expert Prof Roger Awan-Scully from Cardiff University warns that the single poll should be treated with caution, but the results are close to what YouGov found in another recent poll for Wales Online. The Welsh Political Barometer poll, for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University, had a sample of 1,174 Welsh voters aged 16+ and was carried out online by … By Press Association 2021 Welsh Assembly election 2016 campaign. Information on how the 2021 Welsh Assembly election polling average is calculated is available here. The latest Welsh political poll shows that it is set to be a close race between the three key parties in Wales in the 2021 Senedd elections. Ed Miliband is similarly popular at 78% vs 21%, despite losing the election to David Cameron in 2015. The date of election is Thursday, May 6 2021. The Association of Convenience Stores has partnered with the Food and Drink Federation and other food and drink industry groups to hold a Welsh hustings event ahead of the Welsh Assembly elections taking place on 6 May. Senedd Election 2021 The cut off for ensuring you can take part in May's poll is just days away and there are fears that many thousands of people face being shut out of the democratic process The Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition's (TUSC) Welsh parliament election campaign got off to a cracking start when over 70 attended the campaign launch meeting online on 8 April, many of them brand new to TUSC. The Senedd election is the first national elections in Wales where 16 and 17-year-olds, as well as foreign nationals living in the country, will be allowed to cast a vote. 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